Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 28.421216 32.747119 37.416009 42.818007 48.883908 55.472657 63.158252
2025-01-19 19.915162 25.652919 32.443171 41.015527 51.487437 63.798531 79.296056
2025-01-26 16.735632 23.495459 32.076381 43.635350 58.647307 77.317536 102.102984
2025-02-02 15.062789 22.691037 32.939738 47.475819 67.279187 92.997353 128.542445
2025-02-09 12.809954 20.613446 31.663697 48.091847 71.456784 102.988080 148.135054
2025-02-16 10.870608 18.608092 30.112759 47.969003 74.370958 111.242609 165.709621
2025-02-23 9.234386 16.766637 28.494352 47.442322 76.478968 118.316003 181.884164
2025-03-02 7.978634 15.316073 27.244366 47.245687 78.916530 125.858228 199.011650
2025-03-09 6.931056 14.039788 26.083668 47.001226 81.153991 133.120809 216.016379
2025-03-16 5.635498 12.109622 23.582822 44.277317 79.187185 133.798405 223.067064
2025-03-23 5.172456 11.645958 23.529930 45.603870 83.787105 144.794462 246.381250
2025-03-30 4.940710 11.592862 24.188701 48.190025 90.616467 159.642863 276.411600
2025-04-06 4.220999 10.477560 22.831047 47.190134 91.506812 165.353560 292.891731
2025-04-13 3.473009 9.173848 20.957792 45.070088 90.311526 167.638577 304.138714
2025-04-20 3.326791 9.179076 21.667428 47.880268 98.108313 185.448060 341.908913
2025-04-27 3.310358 9.481751 23.013303 52.034329 108.634995 208.481382 389.551623
2025-05-04 2.989054 8.992142 22.628417 52.700032 112.696124 220.493731 419.052559
2025-05-11 2.645989 8.380670 21.895321 52.566799 115.197048 229.848000 444.384488
2025-05-18 2.317677 7.739674 21.005252 51.996524 116.768239 237.562467 467.148564
2025-05-25 2.053830 7.219385 20.320589 51.783604 119.001113 246.561680 492.568142
2025-06-01 1.819504 6.732954 19.648325 51.518895 121.084463 255.357563 517.987456
2025-06-08 1.481613 5.853736 17.876504 48.568384 117.367320 252.961345 522.797942
2025-06-15 1.388118 5.722826 17.993973 50.005524 122.981976 268.712175 561.879148